Relevance: GS Paper III – Environment & Ecology (Climate Change, Global Emissions)
Source: Nature, Climate Analytics, IEA Global Energy Review
The News
Global greenhouse-gas emissions continue to rise, with energy-related carbon dioxide touching an estimated 37–38 gigatonnes in 2024. Non-CO₂ gases (methane, nitrous oxide, industrial gases) are also increasing. Despite clean-energy expansion, the world has not yet achieved a definitive emissions peak, a milestone necessary to meet the Paris Agreement temperature goals.
What Are “Peak Emissions”?
Peak emissions refer to the year when global annual greenhouse-gas output reaches its highest point and begins to decline thereafter.
Why it matters:
- Essential for limiting warming to 1.5°C.
- Determines available carbon budgets.
- Delays increase climate risks and intensify adaptation burdens.
Recent Trends
Indicator | Current Status |
| Energy-related CO₂ (2024) | Rising (~37–38 Gt) |
| Total GHG emissions | Still increasing globally |
| Peaking likelihood | Expected around mid-2020s with strong clean-tech expansion |
| 1.5°C pathway | Requires emissions to peak by 2025 and fall rapidly |
Why Emissions Are Not Peaking Yet
- Slow decline in fossil-fuel consumption.
- Rising energy demand in developing economies.
- Continued methane emissions from agriculture and energy sector.
- Insufficient global climate finance and technology transfer.
What Needs to Be Done
- Accelerate renewable energy, electrification, and energy efficiency.
- Rapid methane mitigation (agriculture, waste, oil & gas).
- Strengthen climate finance mechanisms for developing nations.
- Align national policies with IPCC pathways, Paris Agreement, and SDG 13 (Climate Action).
One-line Wrap
Persistent growth in global emissions shows the world is not yet on track for a climate-safe future, making an early and steep emissions peak essential.
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